Skip to content

Script Concordance Test

Reasoning under uncertainty

SCT captures how experienced clinicians actually think — by measuring how a new piece of information shifts a working hypothesis. Your responses are compared with an expert panel.

A situation

A short clinical vignette establishing genuine uncertainty.

A hypothesis

“If you were thinking of …” — a plausible diagnosis or action.

New information

“… and then you find …” — decide how it shifts the hypothesis (−2 to +2).

Illustration for the SCT — Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus module

Each item gives a clinical situation, a diagnostic or management hypothesis, and one new finding. Decide how that new finding changes the hypothesis. There is no single "right" answer — your score reflects agreement with an expert panel.

Item 1 Reasoning under uncertainty

Clinical vignette
A 50-year-old man with 3 months of polyuria and 4 kg weight loss attends the clinic.

If you were thinking of…

you are thinking the diagnosis is Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

…and then you find

you find his fasting plasma glucose is 148 mg/dL

Effect on hypothesis

This new information on the hypothesis (Type 2 DM) has the effect:

Score from -2 to +2
Strongly againstNo effectStrongly supports
Item 2 Reasoning under uncertainty

Clinical vignette
The same 50-year-old man is being assessed for the cause of his diabetes.

If you were thinking of…

you are thinking this is Type 1 (not Type 2) Diabetes

…and then you find

you find he is obese with a strong family history and no ketonuria

Effect on hypothesis

This new information on the hypothesis (Type 1 DM) has the effect:

Score from -2 to +2
Strongly againstNo effectStrongly supports
Item 3 Reasoning under uncertainty

Clinical vignette
A diabetic patient on metformin has an HbA1c of 9.2% after 6 months.

If you were thinking of…

you are thinking of intensifying therapy by adding a second agent

…and then you find

you learn he has been skipping doses and rarely follows dietary advice

Effect on hypothesis

This new information on the hypothesis (add a second drug now) has the effect:

Score from -2 to +2
Strongly againstNo effectStrongly supports
Item 4 Reasoning under uncertainty

Clinical vignette
A 48-year-old newly diagnosed diabetic has no symptoms other than incidental hyperglycaemia.

If you were thinking of…

you are thinking he already has diabetic retinopathy

…and then you find

you find a normal dilated fundus examination

Effect on hypothesis

This new information on the hypothesis (established retinopathy at diagnosis) has the effect:

Score from -2 to +2
Strongly againstNo effectStrongly supports
0 / 4 answered

Illustrative expert-panel scoring

Scores here compare against illustrative expert modal answers, not a real Delphi panel. In the research deployment, a panel of Community Medicine experts will complete each item and their aggregated, ethics-approved responses will generate the scoring key.